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A probability is more useful than a simple up or down signal. It quantifies the certainty of a prediction and allows a trader to take a position consistent with a given level of risk. Pairs Trading: A Bayesian Example By to examine the relationships in one small group of ETFs as an example of what is possible but the same techniques

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Simple Trading Strategies That Work. Preface. It's been estimated that 90% of traders lose money. To trade profitably, you've got to do things differently. One way to do things differently is to look at financial data differently. Stefan Hollos and Richard Hollos QuantWolf.com Exstrom Laboratories LLC Longmont, Colorado, U.S.A. September 2011

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Simple Trading Strategies That Work isn't just theory. We test drive it on 4 ETFs. We test drive it on 4 ETFs. There are 24 figures and 6 tables, showing the performance of the strategies, and comparing them.

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A probability is more useful than a simple up or down signal. It quantifies the certainty of a prediction and allows a trader to take a position consistent with a given level of risk. Pairs Trading: A Bayesian Example Paperback – August 31, 2012. Simple Trading Strategies That Work Stefan Hollos. 5.0 out of 5 stars 1. Paperback. 1

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Simple Trading Strategies That Work isn't for everyone. Here are 4 reasons why you may decide not to buy this book: Here are 4 reasons why you may decide not to buy this book: 1) You don't believe there are patterns in the financial markets that can be used to trade profitably.

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Here is a simple example of using Bayesian methods for trading. The goal is to come up with a probability for the hypothesis that the stock market will go up tomorrow. For the sake of shorthand, label the hypothesis \(H\) and its negation, the market will not go up, \(\barH\).

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Stefan Hollos Author J Richard Hollos ISBN-13 9781887187305 Format Paperback, Publisher Abrazol Publishing Publication date Jul 22, 2015 Pages 398 Product dimensions Simple Trading Strategies That Work (English, Paperback) Stefan Hollos, J Richard Hollos Currently Unavailable More details.